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Author Topic: Prophecy, Drought, Earthquakes, Famine, Pestilence, War, and Strange Weather.  (Read 150869 times)
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« Reply #615 on: April 30, 2006, 08:56:04 AM »

Storms Batter Texas With Wind and Hail

1 hour, 40 minutes ago

GAINESVILLE, Texas - Storms battered parts of Texas with wind up to 100 mph and hail the size of baseballs Saturday, damaging buildings and slamming parked airplanes into one another at an airport.

No serious injuries were reported, but two horses were killed when what appeared to be a tornado swept through a Waco ranch and flattened some barns and a two-story home. At least six other horses — all belonging to Baylor University's equestrian program — were injured, the school said.

"When you have winds from 80 to 100 mph it can do damage similar to that of a tornado," said Jesse Moore, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service. "That can do some very, very big damage."

Just south of the Oklahoma border in Gainesville, wind and hail broke windows and ripped roofs on houses, said city spokeswoman Kay Lunnon. Some areas were still without power late Saturday.

Forecasters said the city has more than 3 inches of rain.

At the Gainesville Municipal Airport, hangars were damaged and private planes that were outside were pushed into each other by the high winds, said airport director Matt Quick. About 15 planes were damaged, he said.

In Waco, Baylor University freshman Shelby White was about to go to bed when the wind began pounding her family's house.

"I dove in the back corner of my room and all the walls collapsed," White said. "When the window shattered, I thought we had a really strong wind. But when the wall started collapsing, I didn't know what to think."

The National Weather Service said that while a tornado was briefly spotted around Waco, straight-line winds of at least 70 mph likely did most of the damage.

Officials also reported wind-damaged homes and felled trees in San Jacinto and Liberty Counties, around Houston. About 4,000 customers in the Houston area lost power during the storm, CenterPoint Energy officials said.

Storms Batter Texas With Wind and Hail
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« Reply #616 on: April 30, 2006, 03:43:51 PM »

Romania struggles as floods leave 4,000 homeless
Sun Apr 30, 2006 8:56am ET10

BUCHAREST (Reuters) - Romania is struggling to prevent a humanitarian disaster after floods around the Danube river this month left at least 4,000 homeless, authorities said on Sunday.

Large swaths of land and hundreds of houses along the river, Europe's second-longest, remain under water after weeks of flooding and 14,000 Romanians are still displaced, living in improvised shelters, military tents or with relatives.

"Around 30 percent of the displaced people have no place to go and are staying in schools and in camps we had created for them ... They won't have a place to return to after waters recede," an interior ministry official told Reuters.

"Our efforts are now concentrated to prevent water-borne diseases," he said.

Flooding risk from the Danube has gradually subsided over the past days but officials said many waterlogged dikes could still give way because of the prolonged water pressure.

The Danube poured over dams and burst defenses throughout central and southeastern Europe this month as melting snow and heavy rains raised water levels to century highs.

Health authorities in Romania have been distributing anti-dysentery tablets to the evacuees and vaccinated them against tetanus and water-borne diseases such as typhoid.

TV footage has shown military helicopters spraying disinfectants and anti-mosquito insecticides onto villages over a 1,000-km (620 mile) stretch of the river to prevent malaria threat.

But the effort may not be enough, officials say.

"The longer our 1,200 people stay in tents, the shorter the way to an epidemics," Iulian Silisteanu, mayor of the worst hit village of Rast in southwestern Romania told Reuters.

"I've lost hope," says Ion Bita, a 52-year-old farmer from the village of Rast who has spent two weeks in a tent pitched on higher ground.

In Bulgaria, civil defense units are working on draining and disinfecting flooded houses and land along the Danube, officials said.

A team of experts from Belgium is due to arrive on Sunday to help pump out water in the worst hit town of Nikopol, where more than 80 houses and public buildings are still under water.

Upstream from Romania, in Hungary, about 1,000 people returned to their homes on Sunday, reducing the number of evacuees to 1,642 from 2,645.

Romania struggles as floods leave 4,000 homeless
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« Reply #617 on: April 30, 2006, 06:10:48 PM »

Severe storms spawn reports of tornadoes, waterspouts

 NEW ORLEANS -- Tornadoes and waterspouts were reported as part of a line of big storms that dumped up to 2 inches of rain late Saturday and early Sunday in southeast Louisiana, but overall damage was spotty, according to the National Weather Service.

Meteorologist Mike Shields said Sunday that a reported tornado in Abita Springs did significant damage to one house. Another was reported in a north Baton Rouge neighborhood called Greenwood Estates. Shields said water spouts were reported around Eden Isles in Slidell.

Street flooding was widespread Sunday night in East Baton Rouge Rouge Parish, the sheriff's office said. A deputy said wakes from large vehicles pushed water into some houses.

Three to six inches of water were reported in some homes in one subdivision, Shields said.

Power lines were damaged in both the New Orleans and Baton Rouge metro areas.
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« Reply #618 on: April 30, 2006, 06:14:53 PM »

Cases of mumps now 500 a week


UK - A mumps epidemic continues to sweep across universities, new figures from the Health Protection Agency (HPA) have revealed. The number of cases in a 12-month period has jumped 600-fold in a decade, from 94 to 56,390 last year.

A huge effort by universities to get students to have the mumps, measles and rubella (MMR) vaccination meant the numbers dipped towards the end of last year but there are still 500 new cases each week. The vast majority of sufferers are aged between 16 and 24, with students particularly at risk because they live in such close proximity of each other.

Laurence Knight, a spokesman for the HPA, said: 'Many students are vulnerable to the infection, so they should still check their immunisation records to ensure they are up to date with their MMR jabs.'

Mumps in late teens or adulthood can be much more painful than as a childhood disease. For many it means swollen neck glands, testes or ovaries, while in more extreme cases it can lead to deafness or meningitis. One in five men who suffer from mumps contract orchitis, a disease that can lead to infertility.

Alan White, a professor of men's health at Leeds Metropolitan University, said many young men knew about the risks but there was a tendency for them to not visit doctors, adding: 'There is a significant risk for them with mumps, so they should look at getting immunised.'

Although the disease is still in epidemic proportions, it is now on a downward trend, Knight added. He said that the number of weekly cases was lower than in the first half of 2005 when at its worst there were more than 1,500 per week.

'There are several reasons, including greater immunity in the student population,' said Knight. 'But there is no doubt that the efforts of the universities to encourage new students to arrive protected against the infection through MMR vaccination has been important.'
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« Reply #619 on: April 30, 2006, 06:15:48 PM »

2 School Districts Report Suspected Mumps Cases



PERRY, Ohio -- Two northeast Ohio schools have reported suspected cases of mumps in two days.

Perry Schools in Lake County fear one of their students has the mumps.

The school alerted parents of the suspected case.

It's not confirmed yet, and the school isn't worried about it spreading.

Officials are waiting for blood test results.

On Friday, Norwalk Schools in Huron County reported a suspected mumps case.

Health officials said they are now on alert. They suspect that a boy exposed his fellow students at Norwalk Middle School to the disease.

Parents of Norwalk Middle School students are urged to have their children tested for mumps.

More than 1,000 cases of mumps have been reported in eight Midwestern states in recent weeks.
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« Reply #620 on: April 30, 2006, 06:16:32 PM »

Principal: Student has mumps


LANCASTER - A high school student who also attends classes at an area vocational school has contracted the mumps, according to school officials.

The student's diagnosis was confirmed Friday by the state Department of Health, according to a letter sent home to parents from Manheim Township High School principal David Hanna.

The student, whose identity was not disclosed, has no siblings in the district, so the Department of Health has advised school officials that the virus is likely well-contained, district spokeswoman Lori Zimmerman said.

However, the student also attends classes at Lancaster County Career and Technology Center, which was notified of the diagnosis, Zimmerman said.

Last week, Franklin and Marshall College disclosed that two of its students were recovering from the mumps and four others suspected of having the ailment were on the mend.

The Pennsylvania cases are part of the nation's biggest outbreak of mumps in decades.

Iowa is at the center of the epidemic in the Midwest. No deaths have been reported and there have been few hospitalizations. As of this week, the state had 1,120 probable, confirmed or suspected cases of the disease. Cases have been reported in at least seven other states as well.
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« Reply #621 on: April 30, 2006, 06:17:43 PM »

Doctors say mumps vaccine is not the best
Many suspect the protection lacking, especially with just one shot


Almost anyone born 50 or more years ago remembers the mumps, the cheek-swelling illness that used to sicken between 100,000 and 200,000 people a year in the United States.

Mumps practically vanished with a vaccine’s approval in 1967. To those born since, the mumps is as unfamiliar as “Sky King” or “Howdy Doody.”

Mark Goodwin, 46, of Juno Beach, Fla., remembers how everyone at school rolled up their sleeves in 1969. “You all lined up in the cafeteria, and you were watching the faces of your friends to see if they’d cry,” Goodwin said. “There were public service announcements everywhere.”

Now the vaccine campaigns are beginning again. A mumps outbreak that first emerged in Iowa earlier this year now has sickened 1,720, most of them college-age adults in the Midwest, according to figures released this week by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

That’s about six times the usual number.

Anxious college students are lining up for shots the way Goodwin did at 9, but this new generation is not suffering in silence. They’re blogging about the disease:

“When my mom had the mumps she swelled up on one side and when it went away swelled up on the other so i really, really hope that doesn’t happen to me. i told my mom if that happens to just shoot me. put me out like old yeller,” wrote one Illinois woman, 22.

Mumps also is an unfamiliar disease for many doctors. That worries Herbert Pomerance, a professor of pediatrics at the University of South Florida. At 88, he considers it a calling now to acquaint young medical students with the diseases vaccines have nearly — but not quite — vanquished.

“I have a lecture that I give, and in it I provide them with pictures of all of these diseases that they can look at over and over so they will not miss these diseases when they see them,” Pomerance said.

He tells them how as a practicing physician he knew he had a mumps case.

“If you take your index finger and put it immediately under your ear, there’s a little hole there. In mumps, you can’t do it,” he said. “It’s a giveaway sign.”

In an article written for the medical journal Fetal and Pediatric Pathology last year, Pomerance predicted that a new outbreak of an old childhood disease would go unrecognized for many weeks by today’s young physicians.

That’s exactly what happened — first in a summer camp outbreak in New York last year, then among Iowa college students this year, said Dr. Jane Seward, an epidemiologist and pediatrician with the CDC’s Division of Viral Diseases in Atlanta.

“Physicians aren’t used to seeing mumps anymore. There are other causes of glandular swelling,” Seward said. “It was diagnosed about a month late in New York, and the same thing happened in Iowa. They can’t trace the initial case. They’re not even sure who the initial case was.”

Many physicians think it can’t be mumps if people had the vaccine. It’s important to remember that the shots don’t provide 100 percent protection, Seward added. That’s turning out to be one of the greatest mysteries of the current epidemic, something not lost on the bloggers:

“They told me that i did have two mumps shots, one when i was a baby and one in 1991 when they decided to give kids two shots. one shot is 80% effective and with two it jumps you to 90%. maybe they should start giving people a third shot in like high school or something.”

The blogger may be on to something. CDC epidemiologists are studying the latest outbreak in great detail, trying to determine whether the typically stable virus suddenly has mutated.

They asking why it’s hitting college-age students and not the very young or very old — and wondering whether college students should be required to have another mumps vaccine before attending school.

The health community dogma has been that the mumps vaccine provides lifetime immunity. Now, that is being reconsidered.

“There is some data to suggest that at least some of the time you can have waning immunity. But I’m sitting here with a cloudy crystal ball,” said Dr. William Schaffner, a member of the CDCs Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, based at Vanderbilt Medical School in Nashville.

Seward says the mutation theory is being studied, but appears unlikely.

Her best bet is the incomplete protection the vaccine provides. College-age students are likely to have had just one shot, not the booster, she said.

The CDC now is gathering data from the states about their vaccine requirements for college students.

Among school-age children, vaccine requirements have been effective. About 92 percent of seventh-graders have had their second dose.

Health officials credit those requirements for school attendance for helping the United States avoid the outbreak that’s gripped Great Britain. Widespread mistrust over the vaccine’s disputed link to autism has caused vaccination rates to fall drastically there since 2001. Meanwhile, the number of sick has exceeded 50,000 a year.

The mumps strain raging through the Midwest is the same strain as the one in England, Seward said.

“We would have seen tens of thousands of cases if we didn’t have vaccination,” Seward said. “We’ve seen a 99 percent decrease in mumps incidence because of the vaccines.

Schaffner agreed.

“Mumps is a very good vaccine.” He said. “It’s not quite as good as others, but that’s just the way it is.”
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« Reply #622 on: April 30, 2006, 06:18:40 PM »

Three in county quarantined as suspected mump cases
Missouri Department of Health reports 15 confirmed cases of the virus as of Friday.



Three Boone County residents suspected of having mumps were asked to quarantine themselves at home pending lab results to confirm whether they contracted the virus, which continues to spread throughout the Midwest.

Health officials urged people to remain calm and continued to advise residents to check their immunization records.

Two of the three county residents suspected of having mumps live in Columbia. Health officials said all of the cases were mild and that the patients are doing well.

“There is no reason for public alarm,” said Stephanie Browning, health director at the Columbia/Boone County Health Department.

The department contacted people who may have had contact with the infected patients to check on their immunizations and to make certain they know they might have been exposed.

“At this point we don’t have an answer as to how all these cases fit together in a puzzle,” said Heather Baer of the health department.

She said Columbia residents can contact the health department or their physicians in order to obtain their immunization record.

The state health department on Friday reported 54 probable and 15 confirmed cases of mumps in Missouri. Three of those people, all in the northwest part of the state, were hospitalized.

Lola Russell of the national Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Friday that the highest number of cases — 1,273 — was in Iowa. Another 786 possible and confirmed cases were reported in nine other states, including Missouri. Twenty people have been hospitalized but no deaths have been reported.

“All the elements seem to have come together to create favorable conditions for mumps,” said Brian Quinn of the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services. “We don’t know why now, why here.”

Quinn said only four of the 69 cases in Missouri were linked to cases in other states. Although those four people had traveled to states with cases of mumps, he said, this does not necessarily mean they were infected there.

All cases of mumps in the Midwest fall under the same “genotype G” strain, according to the CDC.

Symptoms include fever, headache, muscle aches, tiredness and loss of appetite followed by swelling of salivary glands. The parotid salivary glands, which are located in the cheek near the jaw line and below the ears, are most frequently affected.

Officials warn, however, that up to 20 percent of people with the virus do not show symptoms and may unknowingly spread the disease. People who are infected with symptomatic mumps are sometimes able to transmit the virus for two or three days before the symptoms appear. Complications are rare, but can include inflammation of the brain, testicles, ovaries and/or breasts as well as spontaneous abortion and deafness. Adults are more likely to have complications from mumps than children, said Sue Denny of the DHSS.

Health officials encourage children to have two vaccines for mumps before elementary school. The first vaccine is recommended at 12 to 15 months of age; the second at 4 to 6 years. Denny said that since 1990, Missouri law has required children to have had two doses of the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine before they started school. The state allows medical and religious exemptions, she said, but not very many people use them.

“We’re not even in a major outbreak situation here in Missouri,” she said. “The situation should be taken seriously, but people should not be alarmed.”

The mumps vaccine is 90 percent effective if a person received two doses and 80 percent effective for a single dose, according to the CDC. Officials said they have no reason to believe there is a problem with the existing vaccine, as some have suggested. People who have already had the mumps are assumed to be protected.
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« Reply #623 on: April 30, 2006, 06:36:11 PM »

Malaria epidemic sweeps Assam, 75 dead

 LAKHIMPUR (ASSAM): The death toll from a malaria epidemic sweeping the Assam state has gone up to 75 while 335,000 people are affected by the disease, health officials said on Friday.

"So far 75 people have died of cerebral malaria since the disease struck in the state in the beginning of April," Assam Health Minister Bhumidhar Barman said.

Malaria has been detected in other northeastern states too, but fatalities have been reported only in Assam, which has a population of 26 million. The worst-hit eastern district of Lakhimpur has reported nearly 30 deaths and up to 150,000 affected.

The fatalities are high in Assam because many people are visiting quacks and sorcerers to treat the parasitic disease caused by the bite of the anopheles mosquito.

Ratneswar Payeng, an elderly Assamese, was suffering from high fever for the past 12 days and was shifted to a hospital on Wednesday in Lakhimpur, about 400 km east of Guwahati.

"Initially we thought someone in the village had cast some evil spell on our father. We approached the local priest and performed various rituals, including sacrificing a hen to ward off the evil spirit from his body," Payeng's son said.

Payeng's health condition deteriorated as the priest failed in his attempt at curing the 70-year-old tribal. Doctors at the hospital where Payeng was later shifted to said his condition is critical.

"We are at a loss to find a large number of people still going to quacks and sorcerers to treat a sick person rather than bringing them straight away to a doctor," the health minister said.

"The delay in bringing a person to the hospital complicates the illness and is one of the reasons for the fatalities."

Superstitious beliefs, black magic and demonology are integral to tribal custom in parts of Assam, Tripura and other northeast states.

"Our health workers are now working overtime in spreading awareness in rural areas not to be wooed by quacks or sorcerers, and instead approach a doctor or come to the hospital when someone is sick," Barman said.

The northeast is known as "malaria zone" with the disease claiming an estimated 500 lives annually. At least 230 people died in Assam last year of malaria.

The dangerous malaria season lasts three to four months beginning in mid-March. Cerebral malaria is the severest form of the disease and can cause seizures, comas and other problems.

Health officials in adjoining Tripura, Arunachal Pradesh and Nagaland said there were cases of malaria in their region too, but it has not assumed an epidemic proportion like in Assam.
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« Reply #624 on: April 30, 2006, 06:37:06 PM »

Cholera Epidemic Infects 20,000
   
Some 900 people have died and 20,000 are infected with cholera in Angola. This is only ten weeks after the first case was reported in Luanda, Angola's capital and largest city. The last outbreak was over ten years ago.
   
   
This week Doctors Without Borders were seeing an average of 30 new cases and one death every hour. They have erected tents to deal with the overcrowding. "We have not yet reached the peak of this epidemic," said DWB mission head Richard Veerman.
   
   
"Everyone is slow to respond", said Veerman. During wartime people hardly ever traveled and the disease had little chance of spreading from the shantytowns in the capital. The result is the people had low resistance to the bacteria responsible.
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« Reply #625 on: May 01, 2006, 10:24:32 AM »

China warns 10 million threatened by drought
    

Droughts in different parts of China are threatening the supply of drinking water for 10 million people, the government warned.

The situation has been worsening since mid-April and affected both areas in the north of the country and in Yunnan province in the southwest, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters said.

 A total of 16.6 million hectares (41 million acres) of cropland has been affected and 7.9 million head of livestock face a shortage of drinking water, the headquarters said, according to state-run Xinhua news agency.

The headquarters has ordered local governments to take "strong and effective" measures, while the finance ministry has earmarked 100 million yuan (12.5 million dollars) to combat the problem, Xinhua said.
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« Reply #626 on: May 02, 2006, 03:04:32 PM »

Concern grows as volcano set for eruption

Indonesia: RUMBLING volcano Mount Merapi is growing two meters a day as ash and magma pushes up the crater, signalling an imminent eruption, a vulcanologist said today.

"The volcano has a new dome and it's getting bigger and bigger," said Safari Dwiyono, an observer at one of Yogyakarta's Vulcanology and Monitoring offices.

An eruption could occur any day, he said, but authorities are still not ready to raise the alert to the highest level, which requires immediate evacuation of nearby villages.
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« Reply #627 on: May 02, 2006, 03:05:50 PM »

An Earthquake Jolts South Of Tokyo


Shaveta Bansal - All Headline News Contributor

Tokyo, Japan (AHN) – A moderate earthquake which measured 5.6 on Richter’s Scale rocked an area South of Tokyo Tuesday, the Japan Meteorological Agency reported.

The focus of the tremor, which struck at 6:24pm (0924 GMT), was 20km (12.42 miles) below the ocean floor off the Izu Peninsula in Shizuoka prefecture, about 80km (49.68 miles) southwest of Tokyo, the agency said.

Some train services, including bullet trains in the area, were briefly halted as a precaution, NHK public broadcaster said.

Earthquakes are common in Japan, one of the world's most seismically active areas. The country accounts for about 20 per cent of the world's earthquakes of magnitude 6 or greater.

There were no immediate reports of damage and no tsunami warning was issued.
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« Reply #628 on: May 03, 2006, 03:03:00 PM »

Tsunami Warning Canceled After 7.8 Quake Hits Pacific

WELLINGTON, New Zealand — A magnitude 7.8 earthquake struck early Thursday near the South Pacific nation of Tonga, and a tsunami warning was issued for Fiji and New Zealand.

The warning was lifted after a tsunami of less than 2 feet was recorded.

No giant waves hit Tonga, and authorities in New Zealand after initially going on high alert said there was no danger of a damaging wave slamming into the New Zealand east coast.

Speaking about the time a wave was forecast to reach the islands, police spokesman Mesake Koroi in Fiji's capital, Suva, said there had been no immediate reports of a tsunami.

A police officer in Tonga's capital, Nuku'alofa, said there were no immediate reports of damage or a tsunami.

Another officer in Neiafu, 180 miles to the north, said the quake was felt for about 90 seconds.

"It was strong but not long," duty constable Salesi Baongo said.

Asked whether the tsunami warning had been received, Baongo said, "No, we haven't heard about it."

Mary Fonua, a publisher in Nuku'alofa, said it was the most powerful quake she had felt in 27 years in Tonga.

"It was rocking and rolling, the floor was shaking, the whole family stood in the doorway and we heard crockery breaking in the kitchen and books fell from the shelves," she said.

"It's very dark and the power went off during the quake ... staff are reporting big flashes as the electricity grid went down during the shake and lines were broken."

"It felt very close but we haven't heard a tsunami warning" in the capital, she said.

In New Zealand, Sgt. James Tasmania of Gisborne police said civil defense authorities had been put on high alert, but he added that "none of the (ocean) monitoring buoys have reported anything significant."

The temblor, classified by the USGS as a "great" quake, struck 95 miles south of Neiafu, Tonga, and 1,340 miles north-northeast of Auckland, New Zealand. It occurred 20 miles beneath the sea floor.

The U.S. National Weather Service warned that it was possible a tsunami could strike Fiji as soon as 1:13 p.m. EDT Wednesday and New Zealand by 2:21 p.m. EDT Wednesday.

The U.S. Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said it was not known whether the quake generated a potentially deadly giant wave. The warning was issued for Tonga, Fiji, Niue, American Samoa, Samoa and Wallis-Futuna.

"There's a chance that there could be a tsunami," said Barry Hirshorn, a geophysicist at the center. "But in reality, there's not much danger except for areas close to the earthquake."

The Tsunami Warning Center's instruments detected that there could be small tsunamis with waves of less than 2 feet in areas close to the earthquake, Hirshorn said.

"We're not observing much of a tsunami," he said. "Strictly speaking, it's not very devastating."

A tsunami advisory was issued for Hawaii, but the warning center said the earthquake, based on historical records, was not sufficient to generate a tsunami damaging to the Pacific coasts of the United States and Canada, and Alaska. Some areas may experience small sea-level changes.

Tonga — a 170-island archipelago about halfway between Australia and Tahiti — has a population of about 108,000 and an economy dependent on pumpkin and vanilla exports, fishing, foreign aid and remittances from Tongans abroad.

Now the last monarchy in the Pacific, Tonga has been a Polynesian kingdom and a protectorate of Britain, from which it acquired independence in 1970. It is ruled by 87-year-old King Taufa'ahau Tupou IV, who is ailing.

Fiji, a South Pacific country made up of more than 300 islands, a third of which are inhabited, is regularly rattled by earthquakes, but few cause any damage or casualties.

On Dec. 26, 2004, the most powerful earthquake in four decades — magnitude 9.0 — ripped apart the Indian Ocean floor off Indonesia's Sumatra island, displacing millions of tons of water and spawning giant waves that sped off in all directions.

The tsunami left at least 216,000 people dead or missing in a dozen nations.

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« Reply #629 on: May 04, 2006, 02:41:06 PM »

Thursday, 4 May 2006, 09:11 GMT 10:11 UK
Lava flows from Indonesia volcano
By Rachel Harvey
BBC News, Jakarta

Farmers work as the nearby Merapi volcano spews ash and smoke in Klaten, 04 May 2006 Molten lava has begun flowing from a volcano on the Indonesian island of Java which has been showing increased signs of activity over recent weeks.

Scientists are warning that Mount Merapi is likely to erupt, but say they cannot predict the exact timing.

The area around the volcano has been on official alert for at least two weeks.

Despite the latest developments, the threat level has not yet been raised to the highest alert - a move which would trigger a mass evacuation.

'Inadequate preparations'

The scientists monitoring Mt Merapi's rumbling have been on the lookout for specific signs, including flows of lava and evidence of burning around the crater.

Both have now been confirmed, suggesting the pressure within the volcano is reaching a critical point.

There is now a growing consensus that an eruption is imminent - but no one can say precisely when or how powerful it is likely to be.

 Thousands of people, mostly the elderly and mothers with young children, have already evacuated their homes on Mt Merapi's fertile slopes.

Emergency shelters have been set up away from the danger zone, but some reports suggest that supplies of food and sanitation facilities are inadequate.

Thousands more people are staying put for now, reluctant to leave their belongings and livestock behind.

But if the volcano's pyrotechnics become more threatening still, they may yet be forced to go.

Lava flows from Indonesia volcano
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